The fourth installment of the the seven game series will be played tonight in Oakland. The Warriors are -4.5 and 215 is total. According to sportsbook reporting, about 56% of the public is taking Toronto +4.5
The Raptors are up 2 games to 1 in the series. For the first time in over 1000 days, Golden State finds itself not favored to win the championship. They are -130/+110 underdogs at the moment in series price.
Tonight will see the return of Klay Thompson, a top scorer for Golden State. However, Kevin Durant will not be playing. It is believed by many that in order for Golden State to come back and win this series they will need Durant back in the lineup by game five.
Looking at the trends coming into this game we see the following:
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games whereas Golden State is only 2-3-1 in their last 6.
Toronto is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road but Golden State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games.
And Golden State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home.
These facts would seem to suggest a Golden State win but a Toronto cover. And that is what we are recommending.
[image courtesy of newsweek.com]